I'm suspicious that this is going to lead to optimal orchestration ... or rather, that open source won't produce a far better alternative in time.
The best performance I've gotten is by mixing agents from different companies. Unless there is a "winner take all" agent (I seriously doubt it, based on the dynamics and cost of collecting high quality RL data), I think the best orchestration systems are going to involve mixing agents.
Here, it's not about the planner, it's about the workers. Some agents are just better at certain things than others.
For instance, Opus 4.6 on max does not hold a candle to GPT 5.4 xhigh in terms of bug finding. It's just not even a comparison, iykyk.
Almost analogous to how diversity of thought can improve the robustness of the outcomes in real world teams. The same thing seems to be true in mixture-of-agent-distributions space.
For Anthropic to have the best version of this software, they'd have to simultaneously ... well, have the best version of the software, but also beat every other AI company at all subtasks (like: technical writing, diagramming, bug finding -- they'd need to have the unequivocal "best model" in all categories).
Surely their version is not going to allow you to e.g. invoke Codex or what have you as part of their stack.
My fear is that this is going to lead to an optimal orchestration language. For example, that Claude switches to Sumerian for all communication between agents. One thing is if they try to silo like that, but my real fear is that it may actually perform well.
(Not sure if it would be Sumerian, Esperanto or something more artificial. As long as it is esoteric enough for one company to hoard all the expertise in it.)
I saw this coming. Anthropic wants to shift developers on to their platform where they’re in control. The fight for harness control has been terribly inconvenient for them.
To score a big IPO they need to be a platform, not just a token pipeline. Everything they’re doing signals they’re moving in this direction.
I’ve been building my own version of this. It’s a bit shocking to see parallel ideation.
FWIW- IMO, being locked into a single model provider is a deal breaker.
This solution will distract a lot of folks and doom-lock them into Anthropic. That’ll probably be fine for small offices, but it is suicidal to get hooked into Anthropic’s way of doing things for anything complex. IME, you want to be able to compare different models and you end up managing them to your style. It’s a bit like cooking- where you may have greater affinity for certain flavors. You make selection tradeoffs on when to use a frontier model on design & planning vs something self hosted for simpler operations tasks.
Shameless self promo but, I've been working on Optio specifically for coding, it works by taking any harness you want and tasking it to open Github/lab PRs based on notion/jira/linear tickets, see: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47520220
It works on top of k8s, so you can deploy and run in your own compute cluster. Right now it's focused only on coding tasks but I'm currently working on abstractions so you can similarly orchestrate large runs of any agentic workflow.
Do you think it's unwise for companies to lock in because they would be better served and get better results by picking and choosing models? Or because by running your business on a single closed provider like Anthropic, you're giving them telemetry they can use to optimize their models and systems to then compete with you later?
I think it’s unwise because Model reliability is transient.
When the models have an off day, the workflows you’ve grown to depend upon fail. When you’re completely dependent on Anthropic for not only execution but troubleshooting- you’re doomed. You lose a whole day troubleshooting model performance variability when you should have just logged off and waited. These are very cognitively disruptive days.
Build in multi-model support- so your agents can modify routing if an observer discovers variability.
Its unwise because they are going to have a 5-10k a month bill on enterprise pricing, whereas, for $6-10k a month you can rent and run your own hardware and get a solid 3-4 concurrent sessions for your engineers with a 1T param OS model and save thousands per developer a month.
We're in the early days of agentic frameworks, like the pre-PHP web. CGI scripts and webmasters. Eventually the state-of-the-art will slow down and we'll eventually have something elegant like Rails come out.
Until then, every agent framework is completely reinvented every week due to new patterns and new models. evals, ReACT, DSPy, RLM, memory patterns, claws, dynamic context, sandbox strategies. It seems like locking in to a framework is a losing proposition for anyone trying to stay competitive. See also: LangChain trying to be the Next.js/Vercel of agents but everyone recommending building your own.
That said, Anthropic pulls a lot of weight owning the models themselves and probably an easier-to-use solution will get some adoption from those who are better served by going from nothing to something agentic, despite lock-in and the constant churn of model tech
Completely agree re: AI chatbot/RAG being just like the pre-PHP web world. There's a hundred half baked solutions floating on blogs and github but not a coherent dominant framework that puts it all together properly. Langchain is close but still feels a bit abstract and DIY.
That plus everyone is using 5 different vector DBs and reranking models from different vendors than the answer models etc.
I suspect this is effectively programatic access to the same infrastructure used by Claude Desktop when it needs to run jobs in the cloud on the Anthropic servers... with added configurability and observations.
In other words, it is designed for companies to build on top of the Anthropic platform. Fo example, you are a SaaS and you want to build a way of running agents programatically for your customers, they basically offer a solution. It is not for personal use although you can certainly do so if you are prepared to pay the price for the API.
The downside is obviously this is locked to Anthropic models.
The other downsides is that the authentication story at the moment is underwhelming, hacking, and dare I say, insecure. I have a few reservations.
We already have this platform and I am putting together and open-source example how to create your own version of this.
Anthropic models are great but there are plenty of open-source models too and frankly agents do not need to run like claude code in order to be successful at whatever they need to do. The agent architecture entirely depends on the problem domain in my own experience.
Not quite sold on this. I'm going to stick with pydantic ai and dbos/temporal/celery. I do not want to be vendor locked into one of these players. I want to work with absoluately any llm I want... I think we need to keep pushing for best in class open source orchestrtion and not get sucked into this platforms.
Looks great, I can't wait to use it. I imagine it could become very expensive for certain workflows, it will probably be like AWS where if you're not careful with the setup and watching what you're doing it will spin up 1000s of agents and rack up huge bills! It's going to be a massive money spinner!
I assume Mythos, if ever released to the wide public at all, will only be available in the Claude cloud harness. (Not counting special enterprise and government contracts naturally.)
Those agents did such a wonderful job making and deploying this page that the testimonials are unreadable because each spot has two of them overlapping.
I wonder how long until Claude/OpenAI eat a lot of the current AI/Agent SaaS's lunch.
Originally I thought they would stick towards being a model provider mainly, but with all the recent releases it seems they do want to provide more "services."
Wonder what part of the market 3rd party apps will build a moat around?
I cloned a product today that does the 20% of a product my client needed. It took 8 hours and will save my client 2k a month in licensing fees. Plus, I can now add the features they were missing in the original product.
There's a lot of money to be made in small business automation right now.
Enterprise contracts almost always include a platform fee on top of per-seat costs (67% of contracts), plus professional services that add 12–18% of first-year revenue.
So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.
> So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.
I'll add the nuance that those might be big companies with slack capacity, or at least firms that already are at a point in their effort/performance curve where marginal effort injections in their core business are not worthy enough (a point that, without being big companies, would be actually weird). Even with AI and as processes become more efficient effort is at premium, and depending on your firm situation an man-hour used in your business might be a better use of effort and time that using it on non-core services.
Interesting, so you're saying Anthropic/Openai/etc will get a general solution that won't be hands off. The moat for other companies will be creating the specific, managed solution.
I can see that, assuming models don't make some giant leap forward.
This is actually really nice from anthropic. They are aggressively owning the entire development stack for every swe. They become the default development platform. Automatic recurring revenue too and I am sure they will come up with more categories of subscriptions too.
It’s all good until your production agents deployment has a single 9 uptime.
I use Claude Code as my main coding harness daily but making customers reliant on Anthropic software is a big no-no. Quality engineering is just not their thing.
> With Managed Agents, you define outcomes and success criteria, and Claude self-evaluates and iterates until it gets there (available in research preview, request access here). It also supports traditional prompt-and-response workflows when you want tighter control.
Call me stupid, but this sounds not like they want software developers to be around in a year or two.
As someone who spins up docker containers where I use the Anthropic Agentic SDK to build Jekyll websites for customers, I don’t see much of an appeal. I didn’t find it that difficult to set up the infrastructure, the hard part was getting the agents to do exactly what I wanted. Besides, eventually I might want to transition away to another provider (or even self hosting) so I’d prefer having that freedom.
Anthropic's website is always completely broken for me on Zen (a firefox derivative). I used to think it was an extension, but even without extensions it often just shows blank pages.
In addition to the managed interface for agent configuration and so on, is the novelty that all the agents run on Anthropic's infra? Sort of like Claude Code on the Web? If so, interesting that they move up the stack, from just a provider of an intelligence API to more complex deployed products.
They keep calling this the first solution of this kind...obviously Anthropic is a much larger company, but https://smith.langchain.com/ has this...and had for a while, or am I missing something?
I'm not sure if I'm about to be the old man yelling at clouds, but Anthropic seem to be 'AWS-ifying'. An increasing suite of products which (at least to me) seem to undifferentiated amongst themselves, and all drawn from the same roulette wheel of words.
We've got Claude Managed Agents, Claude Agent SDK, Claude API, Claude Code, Claude Platform, Claude Cowork, Claude Enterprise, and plain old 'Claude'. And honourable mention to Claude Haiku/Sonnet/Opus 4.{whatever} as yet another thing with the same prefix. I feel like it's about once a week I see a new announcement here on HN about some new agentic Claude whatever-it-is.
I have pretty much retreated in the face of this to 'just the API + `pi` + Claude Opus 4.{most recent minor release}', as a surface area I can understand.
I own a stake in a small brewery in Canada, and this feature just saved me setting up some infrastructure to "productionize" an agent we created to assist with ordering, invoicing, and government document creation.
I get paid in beer and vibes for projects like these, so the more I can ship these projects in the same place I prototype them the better.
(Also don't worry all, still have SF income to buy food for my family with)
This is going to grow into a sophisticated platform, and is what will eventually compete head on with saas. I dont think companies will build their own agents, aside from looping in tools. As the models improve, there will be less hand holding. This could end up competing with AWS/GCP
Anthropic is very far ahead on agentic engineering. There is more to getting it to work than it looks, and their models might be directly trained to know how to use the claude code harness.
But beyond that, AWS is a very complex platform. Agents simplify saas, the agent itself manages the api calls, maybe the database queries, more of the logic. As software moves into the agent, you need less cloud capability, and a better agent harness/hosting. Essentially, this makes the AWS platform obsolete, most services make much less sense.
56 comments:
I'm suspicious that this is going to lead to optimal orchestration ... or rather, that open source won't produce a far better alternative in time.
The best performance I've gotten is by mixing agents from different companies. Unless there is a "winner take all" agent (I seriously doubt it, based on the dynamics and cost of collecting high quality RL data), I think the best orchestration systems are going to involve mixing agents.
Here, it's not about the planner, it's about the workers. Some agents are just better at certain things than others.
For instance, Opus 4.6 on max does not hold a candle to GPT 5.4 xhigh in terms of bug finding. It's just not even a comparison, iykyk.
Almost analogous to how diversity of thought can improve the robustness of the outcomes in real world teams. The same thing seems to be true in mixture-of-agent-distributions space.
Another way to think about it:
For Anthropic to have the best version of this software, they'd have to simultaneously ... well, have the best version of the software, but also beat every other AI company at all subtasks (like: technical writing, diagramming, bug finding -- they'd need to have the unequivocal "best model" in all categories).
Surely their version is not going to allow you to e.g. invoke Codex or what have you as part of their stack.
My fear is that this is going to lead to an optimal orchestration language. For example, that Claude switches to Sumerian for all communication between agents. One thing is if they try to silo like that, but my real fear is that it may actually perform well.
(Not sure if it would be Sumerian, Esperanto or something more artificial. As long as it is esoteric enough for one company to hoard all the expertise in it.)
I've seen Antigravity outputting chinese characters in its thinking traces from time-to-time.
I also remember chinese being discussed as a potential orchestrating language but I don't remember the sources, so 100% anecdotical.
Yeah this has been my experience too, mixing agents/models from different companies..
Having Opus write a spec, then send to Gemini to revise, back to Opus to fix, then to me to read and approve..
Send to a local model like Qwen3.5 to build, then off to Opus to review ...
This was such an amazing flow, until Anthropic decided to change their minds.
I saw this coming. Anthropic wants to shift developers on to their platform where they’re in control. The fight for harness control has been terribly inconvenient for them.
To score a big IPO they need to be a platform, not just a token pipeline. Everything they’re doing signals they’re moving in this direction.
I’ve been building my own version of this. It’s a bit shocking to see parallel ideation.
FWIW- IMO, being locked into a single model provider is a deal breaker.
This solution will distract a lot of folks and doom-lock them into Anthropic. That’ll probably be fine for small offices, but it is suicidal to get hooked into Anthropic’s way of doing things for anything complex. IME, you want to be able to compare different models and you end up managing them to your style. It’s a bit like cooking- where you may have greater affinity for certain flavors. You make selection tradeoffs on when to use a frontier model on design & planning vs something self hosted for simpler operations tasks.
FWIW everyone is also building a version of this themselves. Only so many directions to go
Most definitely. Although I haven’t found an (F)OSS project that lets one easily ship [favorite harness SDK] to self-hosted platform yet.
Which projects are standing out in this space right now?
Shameless self promo but, I've been working on Optio specifically for coding, it works by taking any harness you want and tasking it to open Github/lab PRs based on notion/jira/linear tickets, see: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47520220
It works on top of k8s, so you can deploy and run in your own compute cluster. Right now it's focused only on coding tasks but I'm currently working on abstractions so you can similarly orchestrate large runs of any agentic workflow.
Do you think it's unwise for companies to lock in because they would be better served and get better results by picking and choosing models? Or because by running your business on a single closed provider like Anthropic, you're giving them telemetry they can use to optimize their models and systems to then compete with you later?
I think it’s unwise because Model reliability is transient.
When the models have an off day, the workflows you’ve grown to depend upon fail. When you’re completely dependent on Anthropic for not only execution but troubleshooting- you’re doomed. You lose a whole day troubleshooting model performance variability when you should have just logged off and waited. These are very cognitively disruptive days.
Build in multi-model support- so your agents can modify routing if an observer discovers variability.
Its unwise because they are going to have a 5-10k a month bill on enterprise pricing, whereas, for $6-10k a month you can rent and run your own hardware and get a solid 3-4 concurrent sessions for your engineers with a 1T param OS model and save thousands per developer a month.
I'm the same, and its relatively trivial to build these types of systems on top of aggregators like openrouter.
We're in the early days of agentic frameworks, like the pre-PHP web. CGI scripts and webmasters. Eventually the state-of-the-art will slow down and we'll eventually have something elegant like Rails come out.
Until then, every agent framework is completely reinvented every week due to new patterns and new models. evals, ReACT, DSPy, RLM, memory patterns, claws, dynamic context, sandbox strategies. It seems like locking in to a framework is a losing proposition for anyone trying to stay competitive. See also: LangChain trying to be the Next.js/Vercel of agents but everyone recommending building your own.
That said, Anthropic pulls a lot of weight owning the models themselves and probably an easier-to-use solution will get some adoption from those who are better served by going from nothing to something agentic, despite lock-in and the constant churn of model tech
Completely agree re: AI chatbot/RAG being just like the pre-PHP web world. There's a hundred half baked solutions floating on blogs and github but not a coherent dominant framework that puts it all together properly. Langchain is close but still feels a bit abstract and DIY.
That plus everyone is using 5 different vector DBs and reranking models from different vendors than the answer models etc.
I suspect this is effectively programatic access to the same infrastructure used by Claude Desktop when it needs to run jobs in the cloud on the Anthropic servers... with added configurability and observations.
In other words, it is designed for companies to build on top of the Anthropic platform. Fo example, you are a SaaS and you want to build a way of running agents programatically for your customers, they basically offer a solution. It is not for personal use although you can certainly do so if you are prepared to pay the price for the API.
The downside is obviously this is locked to Anthropic models.
The other downsides is that the authentication story at the moment is underwhelming, hacking, and dare I say, insecure. I have a few reservations.
We already have this platform and I am putting together and open-source example how to create your own version of this.
Anthropic models are great but there are plenty of open-source models too and frankly agents do not need to run like claude code in order to be successful at whatever they need to do. The agent architecture entirely depends on the problem domain in my own experience.
Not quite sold on this. I'm going to stick with pydantic ai and dbos/temporal/celery. I do not want to be vendor locked into one of these players. I want to work with absoluately any llm I want... I think we need to keep pushing for best in class open source orchestrtion and not get sucked into this platforms.
Looks great, I can't wait to use it. I imagine it could become very expensive for certain workflows, it will probably be like AWS where if you're not careful with the setup and watching what you're doing it will spin up 1000s of agents and rack up huge bills! It's going to be a massive money spinner!
I assume Mythos, if ever released to the wide public at all, will only be available in the Claude cloud harness. (Not counting special enterprise and government contracts naturally.)
The next $100B buisness model in 2026 is AaaS (Agent as a Service).
Let’s just shorten it to AaS?
agentic software services
This was inevitable, I called this a few weeks ago [1]. It’s an easy way to increase revenue without making the models smarter, and lock you in harder
https://danthegoodman.substack.com/p/where-agents-converge
Those agents did such a wonderful job making and deploying this page that the testimonials are unreadable because each spot has two of them overlapping.
I just have a black page.
I wonder how long until Claude/OpenAI eat a lot of the current AI/Agent SaaS's lunch.
Originally I thought they would stick towards being a model provider mainly, but with all the recent releases it seems they do want to provide more "services."
Wonder what part of the market 3rd party apps will build a moat around?
I cloned a product today that does the 20% of a product my client needed. It took 8 hours and will save my client 2k a month in licensing fees. Plus, I can now add the features they were missing in the original product.
There's a lot of money to be made in small business automation right now.
Probably never. There are a couple reasons:
1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.
2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.
3. Most Saas require some sort of human in the loop to check for quality (at least sampling). No users would want to do that.
Number 2 is the biggest reason. It's $20 a month.... I'm not gonna replace that with anything.
Writing this message already costs more than $20 of my time.
I predict that the market will get bigger because people are more prone to automate the long-tail/last-mile stuff since they are able to
> 1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.
> 2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.
Enterprise contracts almost always include a platform fee on top of per-seat costs (67% of contracts), plus professional services that add 12–18% of first-year revenue.So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.
> So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.
I'll add the nuance that those might be big companies with slack capacity, or at least firms that already are at a point in their effort/performance curve where marginal effort injections in their core business are not worthy enough (a point that, without being big companies, would be actually weird). Even with AI and as processes become more efficient effort is at premium, and depending on your firm situation an man-hour used in your business might be a better use of effort and time that using it on non-core services.
Interesting, so you're saying Anthropic/Openai/etc will get a general solution that won't be hands off. The moat for other companies will be creating the specific, managed solution.
I can see that, assuming models don't make some giant leap forward.
Your vision on the market for this is skewed by the fact that you're probably overpaid.
This is actually really nice from anthropic. They are aggressively owning the entire development stack for every swe. They become the default development platform. Automatic recurring revenue too and I am sure they will come up with more categories of subscriptions too.
It’s all good until your production agents deployment has a single 9 uptime. I use Claude Code as my main coding harness daily but making customers reliant on Anthropic software is a big no-no. Quality engineering is just not their thing.
> With Managed Agents, you define outcomes and success criteria, and Claude self-evaluates and iterates until it gets there (available in research preview, request access here). It also supports traditional prompt-and-response workflows when you want tighter control.
Call me stupid, but this sounds not like they want software developers to be around in a year or two.
But that's exactly what Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) wants.
As someone who spins up docker containers where I use the Anthropic Agentic SDK to build Jekyll websites for customers, I don’t see much of an appeal. I didn’t find it that difficult to set up the infrastructure, the hard part was getting the agents to do exactly what I wanted. Besides, eventually I might want to transition away to another provider (or even self hosting) so I’d prefer having that freedom.
The website is solid black on Firefox mobile for android. Maybe they should get an agent on that.
Anthropic's website is always completely broken for me on Zen (a firefox derivative). I used to think it was an extension, but even without extensions it often just shows blank pages.
In addition to the managed interface for agent configuration and so on, is the novelty that all the agents run on Anthropic's infra? Sort of like Claude Code on the Web? If so, interesting that they move up the stack, from just a provider of an intelligence API to more complex deployed products.
They keep calling this the first solution of this kind...obviously Anthropic is a much larger company, but https://smith.langchain.com/ has this...and had for a while, or am I missing something?
I'm not sure if I'm about to be the old man yelling at clouds, but Anthropic seem to be 'AWS-ifying'. An increasing suite of products which (at least to me) seem to undifferentiated amongst themselves, and all drawn from the same roulette wheel of words.
We've got Claude Managed Agents, Claude Agent SDK, Claude API, Claude Code, Claude Platform, Claude Cowork, Claude Enterprise, and plain old 'Claude'. And honourable mention to Claude Haiku/Sonnet/Opus 4.{whatever} as yet another thing with the same prefix. I feel like it's about once a week I see a new announcement here on HN about some new agentic Claude whatever-it-is.
I have pretty much retreated in the face of this to 'just the API + `pi` + Claude Opus 4.{most recent minor release}', as a surface area I can understand.
Happy to see this launched, particularly today.
I own a stake in a small brewery in Canada, and this feature just saved me setting up some infrastructure to "productionize" an agent we created to assist with ordering, invoicing, and government document creation.
I get paid in beer and vibes for projects like these, so the more I can ship these projects in the same place I prototype them the better.
(Also don't worry all, still have SF income to buy food for my family with)
i get paid in vibes and chilling as well for some similar agent stuff i do for content creators.
quick question, how do you manage these side projects that kinda need to be production ready but aren't you are actual SF job lol?
some of these people think they are my actual customer/client but like i do it for fun and to help them out.
As a video content creator, I'm curious if you would mind sharing the agentic stuff you're doing for others?
Reminder that Anthropic's goal is to sell you more tokens...
Are they entering their OpenAI throw shit at the wall phase?
This is going to grow into a sophisticated platform, and is what will eventually compete head on with saas. I dont think companies will build their own agents, aside from looping in tools. As the models improve, there will be less hand holding. This could end up competing with AWS/GCP
They need to offer more 9s of availability before this happens though.
Exactly my thoughts, AWS is due for a large rewrite/ground up rewrite from first principles to be able to fully utilize LLMs/agentic capabilities.
yeah, alot of the services dont make as much sense
What exactly makes you think that AWS & co. don't have already two competing Agents-as-a-Service Platforms at any time?
Anthropic is very far ahead on agentic engineering. There is more to getting it to work than it looks, and their models might be directly trained to know how to use the claude code harness.
But beyond that, AWS is a very complex platform. Agents simplify saas, the agent itself manages the api calls, maybe the database queries, more of the logic. As software moves into the agent, you need less cloud capability, and a better agent harness/hosting. Essentially, this makes the AWS platform obsolete, most services make much less sense.
And now OpenClaw is dead because serious people have a less janky option!
MANAGED AGENTS sounds like progress, but also like we’re standardizing around the current limitations instead of solving them.